Union Plaanivs
MyPa
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Plaani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Plaani 6-2 MyPa
Original prediction
Union Plaani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 74.9% | 49.3% | -25.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.23 | 14.5% | 24.3% | 9.7 pts |
| Away | 8.53 | 10.6% | 26.5% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Union Plaani
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Union Plaani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20