Union PlaanivsFC Lahti

Union Plaani are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FC Lahti are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Suomen Cup, while FC Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.