Union Omahavs
Sarasota Paradise
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL League One · 8/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and union Omaha hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the USL League One, favouring Union Omaha with 15.3% confidence, a 40% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
15.3%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20