Union Omahavs
Portland Hearts of Pine
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Union Omaha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Portland Hearts of Pine are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
10.5%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40