Union Omahavs
One Knoxville
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Omaha 2-1 One Knoxville
Original prediction
Union Omaha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 49.9% | 47.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.2% | 24.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 24.9% | 27.6% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20