GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while NY Cosmos are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

83.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union OmahaWWWDL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NY CosmosDLLLD

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaNY Cosmos
56.7Attack33.3
63.3Defence25.9
68.3Form20.4
64.7Power29.9
3.02xG0.60
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