Union Omahavs
NY Cosmos
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Omaha 1-1 NY Cosmos
Original prediction
Union Omaha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 69.0% | 77.3% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 18.0% | 14.1% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 6.92 | 13.1% | 8.6% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
77.3%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40