Union Omahavs
NY Cosmos
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL League One · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while NY Cosmos are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
83.1%
Model confidence
13.4%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40