GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/1/2024, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Colorado · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Union Omaha are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Northern Colorado are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Colorado hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the USL League One Cup, while Northern Colorado holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Colorado

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Northern Colorado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union OmahaDWWDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Northern ColoradoDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaNorthern Colorado
83.3Attack83.3
0.0Defence63.3
50.0Form80.0
46.3Power76.3
1.33xG2.94
View match centre →