GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/15/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union Omaha are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded, while North Carolina are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.7 against 63.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union OmahaWDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
North CarolinaDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Union OmahaNorth Carolina
56.7Attack60.8
63.3Defence59.8
68.3Form65.7
64.7Power63.7
1.48xG1.22
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