GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Union Omaha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

70.7%

Model confidence

13.8%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union OmahaWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Greenville TriumphLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Union OmahaGreenville Triumph
56.7Attack36.8
63.3Defence43.9
68.3Form33.3
64.7Power40.1
2.22xG0.69
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