Union Omahavs
Fort Wayne
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Omaha 0-1 Fort Wayne
Original prediction
Union Omaha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.0% | 48.1% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.7% | 26.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.4% | 25.4% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40