GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union OmahaLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaChattanooga Red Wolves
56.7Attack59.3
63.3Defence53.7
68.3Form57.4
64.7Power57.4
1.73xG1.17
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