Union Omahavs
Charlotte Independence
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Omaha 2-0 Charlotte Independence
Original prediction
Union Omaha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.2% | 41.3% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 23.9% | 22.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 24.9% | 36.4% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60