GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/29/2024, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union Omaha are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Central Valley Fuego are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the USL League One Cup, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union OmahaWLWDD

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Central Valley FuegoLDLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Union OmahaCentral Valley Fuego
83.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence58.3
50.0Form29.2
46.3Power43.3
1.74xG1.20
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