Union Magdalenavs
Real Santander
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 3/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Union Magdalena are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Santander are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.4% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Magdalena
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
75.4%
Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40