GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 3/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Union Magdalena are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Cundinamarca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.0% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

20.0%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union MagdalenaWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real CundinamarcaDLWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union MagdalenaReal Cundinamarca
50.7Attack33.3
71.0Defence59.3
60.9Form31.5
62.0Power43.6
1.41xG0.50
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