Union Magdalenavs
Popayan
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 2/22/2023, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Popayan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Union Magdalena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Popayan are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Popayan hold a 37.9-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Copa Colombia, while Popayan holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Popayan
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Popayan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.50