Union Magdalenavs
Popayan
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 2/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Magdalena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Popayan are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Magdalena
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00