Union MagdalenavsPatriotas

Union Magdalena are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Patriotas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.5% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.