Union Magdalenavs
Ind. Yumbo
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Magdalena 0-0 Ind. Yumbo, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Magdalena 1-1 Ind. Yumbo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.1% | 38.3% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.7% | 32.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.1% | 29.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.17 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
Union Magdalena 0–0 Ind. Yumbo
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Union MagdalenaDDWDD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Ind. YumboDWWLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Union MagdalenaInd. Yumbo
47.5Attack35.8
66.7Defence74.1
54.5Form53.1
57.6Power56.2
0.79xG0.65