Union MagdalenavsDepor FC

COMPLETED

Colombia · Primera B · 10/24/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Union Magdalena 1-0 Depor FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Final result

Union Magdalena 1-0 Depor FC

Original prediction

Union Magdalena

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.24	73.3%	57.5%	-15.8 pts
Draw	5.31	17.1%	24.6%	7.4 pts
Away	9.48	9.6%	17.9%	8.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.8 pts

Projected Score

Union Magdalena 1–0 Depor FC

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Union MagdalenaWDDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5

Depor FCLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5

Union MagdalenaDepor FC

46.7Attack32.2

67.6Defence50.6

55.2Form31.0

58.0Power40.2

1.56xG0.54