Union MagdalenavsBarranquilla

COMPLETED

Colombia · Primera B · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Union Magdalena 1-0 Barranquilla, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Final result

Union Magdalena 1-2 Barranquilla

Original prediction

Union Magdalena

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.44	63.7%	57.1%	-6.6 pts
Draw	4.06	22.5%	25.8%	3.3 pts
Away	6.62	13.8%	17.1%	3.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.6 pts

Projected Score

Union Magdalena 1–0 Barranquilla

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Union MagdalenaWLLLD

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5

BarranquillaWLDDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5

Union MagdalenaBarranquilla

46.2Attack41.0

70.5Defence57.7

57.7Form39.7

59.3Power47.3

1.30xG0.64