Union Magdalenavs
Barranquilla
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 5/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Magdalena are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Barranquilla are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.4% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Magdalena
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
17.4%
Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20