GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union La Calera are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union La CaleraLWLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad CatolicaWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union La CaleraUniversidad Catolica
9.5Attack44.4
66.7Defence81.5
33.3Form55.6
39.2Power60.1
0.48xG0.94
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