Union La Caleravs
U. Catolica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union La Calera 3-1 U. Catolica
Original prediction
U. Catolica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.9% | 21.4% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.0% | 23.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 46.1% | 55.5% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00