GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 3/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

O'Higgins · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Union La Calera are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while O'Higgins are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and O'Higgins hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Primera División, while O'Higgins holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

O'Higgins

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

14.2%

O'Higgins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union La CaleraLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
O'HigginsLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
37.0Attack40.7
44.4Defence48.1
35.2Form42.6
40.8Power46.6
1.22xG1.26
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