GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union La Calera are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nublense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nublense

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union La CaleraLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NublenseWDDWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Union La CaleraNublense
37.0Attack43.1
44.4Defence58.8
35.2Form51.0
40.8Power53.1
0.95xG1.36
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