Union La Caleravs
Deportes Limache
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Limache · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union La Calera 1-0 Deportes Limache
Original prediction
Deportes Limache
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 38.0% | 26.4% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.5% | 23.9% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 34.4% | 49.7% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Limache
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Deportes Limache has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40