GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/23/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union La Calera are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union La CaleraLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CruzeiroLDWDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union La CaleraCruzeiro
9.5Attack41.0
66.7Defence74.4
33.3Form59.0
39.2Power60.0
0.47xG0.87
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