Union La CaleravsAlianza Valledupar

Union La Calera are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Valledupar hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.