Union La CaleravsA. Italiano

Union La Calera are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while A. Italiano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and A. Italiano hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Primera División, while A. Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.