Union Espanolavs
Santiago Wanderers
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/24/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Espanola 1-2 Santiago Wanderers
Original prediction
Santiago Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.1% | 33.4% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.1% | 28.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.7% | 37.9% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Santiago Wanderers
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80