Union Espanolavs
Rangers de Talca
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Espanola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (15%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Espanola 0-1 Rangers de Talca
Original prediction
Union Espanola
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.5% | 63.3% | 17.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 21.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.1% | 15.4% | -12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–015%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Union Espanola
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Union Espanola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80