GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Union Espanola are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Once Caldas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union EspanolaWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Once CaldasWLWDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Union EspanolaOnce Caldas
38.1Attack56.4
57.1Defence76.9
28.6Form76.9
41.5Power70.7
0.57xG1.47
View match centre →