Union EspanolavsGualberto Villarroel SJ

Union Espanola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Espanola hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Union Espanola holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.