GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/23/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Union Espanola are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fluminense are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union EspanolaLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FluminenseDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union EspanolaFluminense
38.1Attack53.3
57.1Defence83.3
28.6Form66.7
41.5Power67.4
0.58xG1.37
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