GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Espanola · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union Espanola are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Everton de Vina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Espanola hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Union Espanola holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Espanola

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Union Espanola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union EspanolaLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Everton de VinaLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union EspanolaEverton de Vina
38.1Attack0.0
57.1Defence66.7
28.6Form0.0
41.5Power23.7
1.17xG0.95
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