Union Espanolavs
Deportes Temuco
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Espanola · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Espanola 1-1 Deportes Temuco
Original prediction
Union Espanola
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 39.1% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 27.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.4% | 33.5% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Union Espanola
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Union Espanola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20