Union Espanolavs
Deportes Copiapo
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Espanola · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Espanola 1-0 Deportes Copiapo
Original prediction
Union Espanola
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 38.9% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 25.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.4% | 35.8% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Union Espanola
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Union Espanola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00