GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/20/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

D. Puerto Montt · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Union Espanola are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while D. Puerto Montt are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and D. Puerto Montt hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Primera B, while D. Puerto Montt holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

D. Puerto Montt

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

14.9%

D. Puerto Montt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union EspanolaLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
D. Puerto MonttWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union EspanolaD. Puerto Montt
46.3Attack38.9
51.9Defence66.7
46.3Form55.6
50.2Power55.6
0.97xG1.04
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