GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/12/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Union Comercio are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Universitario are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

58.2%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union ComercioL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
UniversitarioWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Union ComercioUniversitario
38.9Attack46.0
33.3Defence68.3
33.3Form57.1
37.9Power58.7
0.75xG1.78
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