Union Comerciovs
Molinos El Pirata
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/27/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Comercio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Comercio 0-0 Molinos El Pirata, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Comercio 2-0 Molinos El Pirata
Original prediction
Union Comercio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 66.5% | 47.5% | -19.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.2% | 28.5% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 7.20 | 12.3% | 24.0% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Projected Score
Union Comercio 0–0 Molinos El Pirata
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Union Comercio
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Union Comercio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60