GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/3/2026, 8:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union Comercio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Molinos El Pirata are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union ComercioWWWDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Molinos El PirataWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union ComercioMolinos El Pirata
40.0Attack54.5
93.3Defence60.6
70.0Form60.6
68.5Power60.3
1.04xG0.75
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