GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/5/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union Comercio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cesar Vallejo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union ComercioWDLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cesar VallejoLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Union ComercioCesar Vallejo
40.0Attack26.7
93.3Defence66.7
70.0Form33.3
68.5Power44.5
0.92xG0.35
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