GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 8/23/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union Comercio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Carlos A. Mannucci are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.5% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

29.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union ComercioWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Carlos A. MannucciWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Union ComercioCarlos A. Mannucci
40.0Attack39.4
93.3Defence72.7
70.0Form60.6
68.5Power58.4
0.72xG0.54
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