Union Comerciovs
Carlos A. Mannucci
SCHEDULEDPeru · Segunda División · 8/23/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Union Comercio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Carlos A. Mannucci are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.5% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
29.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00