Union Coclevs
Plaza Amador
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Amador · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Cocle 0-1 Plaza Amador, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Cocle 1-2 Plaza Amador
Original prediction
Plaza Amador
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.89 | 18.3% | 24.0% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.1% | 28.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 56.6% | 47.8% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Projected Score
Union Cocle 0–1 Plaza Amador
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Amador
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Plaza Amador has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20