Union Coclevs
Herrera
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Cocle · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Cocle 1-0 Herrera, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Cocle 2-3 Herrera
Original prediction
Union Cocle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.9% | 59.8% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 24.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.6% | 15.7% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Projected Score
Union Cocle 1–0 Herrera
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Union Cocle
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Union Cocle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Union CocleLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HerreraWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Union CocleHerrera
29.8Attack27.2
60.7Defence24.7
34.5Form19.8
43.6Power27.1
1.50xG0.56