GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/11/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Union Brescia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Brescia

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union BresciaDWLDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Virtus VeronaLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Union BresciaVirtus Verona
43.0Attack30.7
78.9Defence62.3
60.5Form41.2
62.2Power46.5
1.09xG0.39
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