Union Bresciavs
Virtus Verona
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/11/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Brescia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20