Union Bresciavs
Triestina
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Union Brescia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Triestina are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60