Union Bresciavs
Treviso
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Brescia 0-0 Treviso, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Brescia 2-2 Treviso
Original prediction
Union Brescia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.8% | 45.1% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 30.3% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 5.47 | 16.6% | 24.5% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Projected Score
Union Brescia 0–0 Treviso
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00