Union Bresciavs
Renate
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 1/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Brescia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Renate are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60